Probability measures how likely an uncertain outcome is, on a scale from 0 to 1. Impossible events have probability 0 and the certain event has probability 1; in general these values mean almost never/almost surely, not necessarily an empty/full event.
Short notes7 min read
New information changes probabilities. Knowing that a test came back positive, that a packet arrived late, or that the first card drawn was an ace, we should update how likely the other events are. Conditional probability is the rule for that update.
Short notes6 min read
One-page visual sheets for this topic, in the sheet library on the store. Previews are free; the full sheets come with the subject pack.
Cheat sheets1 sheet