Question

A six sided unbiased die with four green faces and two red faces is rolled seven times. Which of the following combinations is the most likely outcome of the experiment?

Choose one option
Official answer and solution
Official answer
C
From
Official GATE 2018 answer key

Solution

Model the experiment as a binomial distribution and determine its mode.

The die has 4 green faces and 2 red faces. The probability of rolling green on any roll is:

p=46=23p = \frac{4}{6} = \frac{2}{3}

The probability of rolling red is q=1−p=13q = 1 - p = \frac{1}{3}.

For n=7n = 7 independent rolls, let XX denote the number of green outcomes. Then X∼Binomial(7,23)X \sim \text{Binomial}\left(7, \frac{2}{3}\right). The probability of getting kk green faces is:

P(X=k)=(7k)(23)k(13)7−k=(7k)2k37P(X = k) = \binom{7}{k} \left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^k \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^{7-k} = \binom{7}{k} \frac{2^k}{3^7}

Evaluate (7k)2k\binom{7}{k} 2^k for each option:

  • k=3k = 3 (3 green, 4 red): (73)×23=35×8=280\binom{7}{3} \times 2^3 = 35 \times 8 = 280
  • k=4k = 4 (4 green, 3 red): (74)×24=35×16=560\binom{7}{4} \times 2^4 = 35 \times 16 = 560
  • k=5k = 5 (5 green, 2 red): (75)×25=21×32=672\binom{7}{5} \times 2^5 = 21 \times 32 = 672
  • k=6k = 6 (6 green, 1 red): (76)×26=7×64=448\binom{7}{6} \times 2^6 = 7 \times 64 = 448

The maximum value is 672, occurring at k=5k = 5. Thus, 5 green faces and 2 red faces is the most likely outcome.

Final answer

C

The answer is the one in the official GATE answer key. The solution is this site's own explanation.

Source

Paper
GATE 2018 Computer Science and Information Technology (CS)
Question
10 of 65, printed as GA Q.10
Section
General Aptitude

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