Question

The probabilities that a student passes in Mathematics, Physics and Chemistry are m,p,m, p, and cc respectively. Of these subjects, the student has 75%75\% chance of passing in at least one, a 50%50\% chance of passing in at least two and a 40%40\% chance of passing in exactly two. Following relations are drawn in m,p,cm, p, c:

(I)p+m+c=27/20(II)p+m+c=13/20(III)(p)×(m)×(c)=1/10\begin{aligned} \text{(I)} & \quad p + m + c = 27/20 \\ \text{(II)} & \quad p + m + c = 13/20 \\ \text{(III)} & \quad (p) \times (m) \times (c) = 1/10 \end{aligned}

Which of the following options is correct?

Choose one option
Official answer and solution
Official answer
D
From
Official GATE 2015 answer key

Solution

Apply the Principle of Inclusion-Exclusion for three events to relate marginal probabilities to intersection probabilities.

Let M,P,CM, P, C denote passing Mathematics, Physics, and Chemistry, with individual probabilities P(M)=m,P(P)=p,P(C)=cP(M) = m, P(P) = p, P(C) = c.

Given:

  • P(at least one)=P(M∪P∪C)=0.75P(\text{at least one}) = P(M \cup P \cup C) = 0.75.
  • P(at least two)=0.50P(\text{at least two}) = 0.50.
  • P(exactly two)=0.40P(\text{exactly two}) = 0.40.
  1. Find P(all three)=P(M∩P∩C)P(\text{all three}) = P(M \cap P \cap C):
    Since passing at least two equals passing exactly two plus passing all three:
P(at least two)=P(exactly two)+P(M∩P∩C)P(\text{at least two}) = P(\text{exactly two}) + P(M \cap P \cap C)
0.50=0.40+P(M∩P∩C)  ⟹  P(M∩P∩C)=0.10=110.0.50 = 0.40 + P(M \cap P \cap C) \implies P(M \cap P \cap C) = 0.10 = \frac{1}{10}.

Under the standard assumption of independent examinations across subjects, P(M∩P∩C)=p⋅m⋅c=110P(M \cap P \cap C) = p \cdot m \cdot c = \frac{1}{10}. Hence, Relation (III) is true.

  1. Find p+m+cp + m + c using Inclusion-Exclusion:
P(M∪P∪C)=(m+p+c)−∑P(A∩B)+P(M∩P∩C)P(M \cup P \cup C) = (m + p + c) - \sum P(A \cap B) + P(M \cap P \cap C)

Note that every pairwise intersection A∩BA \cap B includes the triple intersection M∩P∩CM \cap P \cap C. Thus:

∑P(A∩B)=P(exactly two)+3P(M∩P∩C)=0.40+3(0.10)=0.70.\sum P(A \cap B) = P(\text{exactly two}) + 3 P(M \cap P \cap C) = 0.40 + 3(0.10) = 0.70.

Substituting into the inclusion-exclusion formula:

0.75=(m+p+c)−0.70+0.100.75 = (m + p + c) - 0.70 + 0.10
0.75=(m+p+c)−0.600.75 = (m + p + c) - 0.60
m+p+c=0.75+0.60=1.35=2720.m + p + c = 0.75 + 0.60 = 1.35 = \frac{27}{20}.

Hence, Relation (I) is true and Relation (II) is false.

Therefore, Relations I and III are true (option D).

Final answer

D

Common trap

Forgetting that the sum of pairwise intersections ∑P(A∩B)\sum P(A \cap B) counts the triple intersection three times, which would lead to an incorrect value for m+p+cm + p + c.

The answer is the one in the official GATE answer key. The solution is this site's own explanation.

Source

Paper
GATE 2015 Computer Science and Information Technology (CS) Session 1
Question
10 of 65, printed as GA Q.10
Section
General Aptitude

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